All Transport
ITF 交通运输展望2023
Transport Outlook, Policy Insights,
15 May 2024
- 为未来交通运输及燃料补充基础设施制定全面的发展战略
- 加速向清洁车辆转变
- 在最有效的地区实施交通模式转变和交通需求管理政策
- 评估政策时要考虑城区的额外收益
- 改革车辆税,捕获新车辆的外部成本
Perspectives des transports FIT 2023
Transport Outlook, Policy Insights,
29 April 2024
- Élaborer des stratégies globales au service de la mobilité et des infrastructures de demain
- Accélérer la transition vers des flottes de véhicules propres
- Mettre en œuvre des politiques de report modal et de gestion de la demande là où elles sont le plus efficaces
- Au stade de l’évaluation, considérer les avantages additionnels qu’une politique peut apporter aux zones urbaines
- Réformer la fiscalité automobile de façon à capter les coûts externes des nouveaux parcs de véhicules
Transport System Resilience
Roundtable Report, Policy Insights,
10 April 2024
- Transport networks are vulnerable. Transport systems face multiple disruptions, from geopolitical tensions and climate change impacts to pandemics. Understanding these disruptions is crucial for strengthening their resilience.
- Disruptions have spillover effects. Transport networks are interconnected, and transport disruptions in one part of the world can easily spread to other regions. Managing such spillover effects requires inter-regional co-operation.
- Be systematic about resilience. The concept of transport resilience must be built into national-level policies, long-term plans, appraisal procedures, competition policies and transport indicators.
L'évaluation ex-post des investissements et interventions publiques dans les transports
Roundtable Report, Policy Insights,
27 November 2017
- Planifier d’emblée la collecte des données nécessaires à l’évaluation.
- Procéder à un exercice de vérification en cours d’exécution.
- Confier l’exercice de vérification à des entités indépendantes.
- Reconnaître la diversité des objectifs économiques des investissements dans les transports.
- Associer les partenaires locaux en démontrant l’efficacité du projet.
Mesurer les avantages socio-économiques des transports
Roundtable Report, Policy Insights,
1 October 2017
- Les directives relatives à l’ACA peuvent être élargies pour prendre en compte la fiabilité et certains effets plus larges.
- Des travaux de recherche supplémentaires sont nécessaires sur les avantages en matière de fiabilité afin d’améliorer la confiance dans les résultats.
- Les effets économiques plus larges devraient être étudiés dans les cas où l’on s’attend à ce qu’ils soient importants.
- Des travaux de recherche supplémentaires sont nécessaires sur les effets plus larges à saisir et les outils permettant de le faire.
- L’ACA peut jouer un rôle important dans la prise de décision, mais ne doit pas occuper une place prépondérante.
Strategic Infrastructure Planning: International Best Practice
Case-Specific Policy Analysis, Policy Insights,
23 March 2017
- Systemic risks can be reduced where projects form part of a broad and long-term strategic plan.
- Strategic infrastructure planning carries its own risks, including technology's influence on demand- and supply-side considerations.
- When it works well, strategic planning can set out a stable set of priorities for future investment with durable cross-party support.
- A successful infrastructure planning process balances a stable framework with maintaining flexibility.
- The planning process requires clear objectives, a degree of independence and an open, collaborative approach.
- The planning methodology needs to address risks and uncertainties, take into account binding policy constraints and include considerations of pricing the use of infrastructure.
- A top-down approach to infrastructure planning to complement traditional project by project assessment is essential to a strategic assessment of long-term economic infrastructure needs across sectors.
- Infrastructure planning across sectors can help identify the most important systemic risks early.
- Using analytical methods such as a scenario-based approach to analysis can be helpful in future-proofing infrastructure plans.
- It is important to consider how demand for scarce infrastructure can be managed. Debt management need to be part of any strategic investment plan.
- A top-down approach could foster the development of an analytical framework for investment decisions reflecting both demand and supply side considerations.
Database on Investment in Infrastructure in Latin America and the Caribbean
Presentation, slides, speech,
13 March 2017
Road Construction Cost Data: An Initiative to Break a Research and Policy Deadlock
Presentation, slides, speech,
13 March 2017
Ex-Post Assessment of Transport Investments and Policy Interventions
Roundtable Report, Policy Insights,
27 February 2017
- Data collection for evaluation needs to be planned for from the outset.
- Audit transport projects throughout the project stages
- Use independent organisations to carry out audits of transport projects.
- Recognise the variety of economic goals targeted by transport investments.
- Involve local partners in providing evidence on performance.
Public Private Partnerships for Transport Infrastructure: Renegotiation and Economic Outcomes
Roundtable Report, Policy Insights,
23 February 2017
- Use renegotiation of PPPs only in exceptional cases.
- Use an independent jury to assess whether the outcome of a PPP is what parties might have been expected to negotiate had they foreseen a change that has occurred.
- Consider to task an independent body with determining when renegotiation of a PPP is legitimate.
- Include reputation and demonstrated competence in selection criteria for a PPP.
- Compare advantages and weaknesses of PPPs versus other forms of private capital.
Quantifying the Socio-economic Benefits of Transport
Roundtable Report, Policy Insights,
20 January 2017
- Cost-benefit analysis (CBA) guidelines can be expanded to include reliability and some wider impacts.
- Further research into reliability benefits is needed to improve confidence in results.
- Wider economic impacts should be examined in cases where they are expected to be significant.
- Further research into the impacts and tools for capturing wider impacts is needed.
- Cost-benefit analysis (CBA) can play an important role in decision making, but need not dominate.
Institutional and Political Determinants of Private Participation in Infrastructure
Presentation, slides, speech,
27 October 2014
Renegotiation of Transportation Public-Private Partnerships: The U.S. Experience
Presentation, slides, speech,
27 October 2014
Soft Budgets, Renegotiations and Public-Private Partnerships
Presentation, slides, speech,
27 October 2014
Renegotiations: How to Approach them and Economic Outcomes
Presentation, slides, speech,
27 October 2014
Causal Inference for Ex-Post Evaluation of Transport Interventions
Presentation, slides, speech,
14 September 2014
Permanent Observatories as Tools for Ex-Post Assessment: the French case study
Presentation, slides, speech,
14 September 2014
The National Audit Office’s Value for Money Assessment of Transport Investments
Presentation, slides, speech,
14 September 2014
Prospettive Dei Trasporti Del Fit (Forum Internazionale Dei Trasporti) 2015
Transport Outlook Summary,
1 January 2014
Better Regulation of Public-Private Partnerships for Transport Infrastructure
Roundtable Report, Policy Insights,
24 September 2013
- A mix of financing models spreads risks.
- A dedicated budget for PPPs, set in relation to the rate at which future liabilities will be accumulated, can provide such a limit.
- Explicit consideration of alternative financing arrangements should be employed in determining whether to proceed with PPP projects.
- It is recommended that governments require PPP projects to pass tests of affordability and to clear the hurdle rates of return generally applied to publicly financed transport projects.
- The expected cost of PPP projects should take account of cost inflation resulting from the propensity for projects to be renegotiated.
- At the individual project level, risks should be assigned to the party best able to manage them, along with rights to make related decisions.
- Assigning demand risk is not straightforward and risk sharing arrangements are therefore common.
- Continuity of resources and expertise is essential for addressing strategic behaviour and optimism bias more generally.
- Regulatory agencies are well placed to ensure transparency and accountability by publishing reports on the criteria employed to make decisions and publishing contracts.